U.S. Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump speaks at a campaign rally in Henderson, Nevada

A Trump victory would 'upset the verdict of history': Allan Lichtman

U.S. Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump speaks at a campaign rally in Henderson, Nevada(Reuters) – The forces influencing the U.S. presidential election favor Republican nominee Donald Trump to win the popular vote – but even proven prediction models face “the most difficult election by far to predict accurately,” a political forecaster with a three-decade winning streak said on Wednesday. History Professor Allan Lichtman of American University in Washington has accurately predicted the popular result in presidential elections since Republican President Ronald Reagan defeated Democratic challenger Walter Mondale in 1984. Although the number of ballots cast by voters for each candidate counts, it does not ultimately determine who takes the White House.

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