Connecticut Election Forecast

There is one question on the minds of every person interested in Connecticut politics — who will win in the general election. Below you’ll find the PoliticIt election forecast for Connecticut. PoliticIt has calculated the It Score for each candidate.

The It Score measures a politician’s digital influence. PoliticIt has found high correlation between a candidate’s strong digital influence and her success on election day. So far the It Score has correctly predicted election outcomes in more than 300 races with 90 percent accuracy. The candidate with the highest It Score in each race is the one most likely to win according to our data. To learn more about the It Score, click here


First Name Last Name Race It Score
John Larson Congressional district 1 82
John Decker Congressional district 1 18
Joseph Courtney Congressional district 2 65
Dan Reale Congressional district 2 9
Paul Formica Congressional district 2 25
Rosa Luisa DeLauro Congressional district 3 60
Wayne Winsley Congressional district 3 40
James Himes Congressional district 4 56
Steve Obsitnik Congressional district 4 44
Elizabeth Esty Congressional district 5 47
Andrew Roraback Congressional district 5 48
John Pistone Congressional district 5 5
Christopher Scott Murphy U.S. Senate 14
Linda Marie McMahon U.S. Senate 62
Paul Passarelli U.S. Senate 24

Share this article