Florida Election Forecast

There is one question on the minds of every person interested in Florida politics — who will win in the general election. Below you’ll find the PoliticIt election forecast for Florida. PoliticIt has calculated the It Score for each candidate.

The It Score measures a politician’s digital influence. PoliticIt has found high correlation between a candidate’s strong digital influence and her success on election day. So far the It Score has correctly predicted election outcomes in more than 300 races with 90 percent accuracy. The candidate with the highest It Score in each race is the one most likely to win according to our data. To learn more about the It Score, click here


First Name Last Name Race It Score
Jeff Miller Congressional district 1 69
Jim Bryan Congressional district 1 3
Calen Fretts Congressional district 1 13
William Drummond Congressional district 1 20
Steve Southerland Congressional district 2 62
Al Lawson Congressional district 2 44
Floyd Miller Congressional district 2 5
Ted Yoho Congressional district 3 73
J.R. Gaillot Congressional district 3 13
Phil Dodds Congressional district 3 9
Michael Ricks Congressional district 3 12
Ander Crenshaw Congressional district 4 77
Jim Klauder Congressional district 4 7
Gary Koniz Congressional district 4 5
Corrine Brown Congressional district 5 71
LeAnne Kolb Congressional district 5 5
Eileen Fleming Congressional district 5 16
Bruce Riggs Congressional district 5 5
Ron DeSantis Congressional district 6 37
Heather Beaven Congressional district 6 41
John Mica Congressional district 7 73
Jason Kendall Congressional district 7 13
Fred Marra Congressional district 7 5
Bill Posey Congressional district 8 61
Shannon Roberts Congressional district 8 38
Richard Gillmor Congressional district 8 14
Alan Grayson Congressional district 9 73
Todd Long Congressional district 9 10
Daniel Webster Congressional district 10 39
Val Demings Congressional district 10 57
Naipaul Seegolam Congressional district 10 4
Rich Nugent Congressional district 11 79
Dave Werder Congressional district 11 5
Gus Bilirakis Congressional district 12 68
Jonathan Snow Congressional district 12 18
Paul Elliott Congressional district 12 2
John Russell Congressional district 12 19
Bill Young Congressional district 13 36
Jessica Ehrlich Congressional district 13 57
Kathy Castor Congressional district 14 54
EJ Otero Congressional district 14 41
Bill Kee Congressional district 14 3
Dennis Ross Congressional district 15 79
Vern Buchanan Congressional district 16 66
Keith Fitzgerald Congressional district 16 29
Tom Rooney Congressional district 17 79
Bill Bronson Congressional district 17 4
Tom Baumann Congressional district 17 5
Allen West Congressional district 18 70
Patrick Murphy Congressional district 18 17
Marilyn Holloman Congressional district 18 5
Jim Roach Congressional district 19 57
Brandon Smith Congressional district 19 8
Trey Radel Congressional district 19 50
Alcee Hastings Congressional district 20 63
Randall Terry Congressional district 20 32
Anthony Dutrow Congressional district 20 5
Ted Deutch Congressional district 21 67
Mike Trout Congressional district 21 15
Cesar Henao Congressional district 21 22
Adam Hasner Congressional district 22 48
Lois Frankel Congressional district 22 53
Debbie Schultz Congressional district 23 55
Karen Harrington Congressional district 23 53
Ilya Katz Congressional district 23 5
Frederica Wilson Congressional district 24 79
Mario Balart Congressional district 25 71
Eddie Gonzalez Congressional district 25 18
Stanley Blumenthal Congressional district 25 15
David Rivera Congressional district 26 40
Joe Garcia Congressional district 26 59
Jose Peixoto Congressional district 26 2
Ileana Ros-Lehtinen Congressional district 27 79
Thomas Wiggins Congressional district 27 5
Manny Yevancey Congressional district 27 5
Rick Scott Governor 71
Nan Rich Governor 18
Bill Nelson U.S. Senate 48
Deon Long U.S. Senate 4
Connie Mack U.S. Senate 46
Ron McNeil U.S. Senate 19
Piotr Blass U.S. Senate 8
Chris Borgia U.S. Senate 16
Bill Gaylor U.S. Senate 4
Naomi Craine U.S. Senate 5
Robert Monroe U.S. Senate 5
Lawrence Scott U.S. Senate 5

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