Indiana Election Forecast

There is one question on the minds of every person interested in Indiana politics — who will win in the general election. Below you’ll find the PoliticIt election forecast for Indiana. PoliticIt has calculated the It Score for each candidate.

The It Score measures a politician’s digital influence. PoliticIt has found high correlation between a candidate’s strong digital influence and her success on election day. So far the It Score has correctly predicted election outcomes in more than 300 races with 90 percent accuracy. The candidate with the highest It Score in each race is the one most likely to win according to our data. To learn more about the It Score, click here


First Name Last Name Race It Score
Peter Visclosky Congressional district 1 67
Joel Phelps Congressional district 1 33
Brendan Mullen Congressional district 2 31
Jackie Walorski Congressional district 2 43
Joe Ruiz Congressional district 2 13
Kenneth Lunce Congressional district 2 13
Marlin Stutzman Congressional district 3 86
Kevin Boyd Congressional district 3 14
Todd Rokita Congressional district 4 73
Tara Nelson Congressional district 4 17
Benjamin Gehlhausen Congressional district 4 10
Susan Brooks Congressional district 5 45
Scott Reske Congressional district 5 31
Chard Reid Congressional district 5 25
Luke Messer Congressional district 6 67
Brad Bookout Congressional district 6 20
Rex Bell Congressional district 6 13
André Carson Congressional district 7 69
Carlos May Congressional district 7 26
Tim Frye Congressional district 7 5
Larry Bucshon Congressional district 8 47
Dave Crooks Congressional district 8 44
Bart Gadau Congressional district 8 10
Todd Young Congressional district 9 43
Shelli Yoder Congressional district 9 41
Jason Sharp Congressional district 9 16
Michael Richard Pence Governor 56
John Gregg Governor 31
Rupert Boneham Governor 8
Donnie Harris Governor 5
Richard Mourdock U.S. Senate 50
Joe Donnelly U.S. Senate 25
Andy Horning U.S. Senate 16
James Johnson U.S. Senate 4
Amy Willis U.S. Senate 4

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