Indiana Primary Forecast

Who’s going to win today’s primaries?  The “It Score” weighs in….


Last month we applied our algorithm to local elections for the first time and ended up correctly forecasting both of Utah’s state conventions with 100% accuracy (utahpolicy.com) by calculating each candidate’s “It Score”.  Because of our success we decided to apply our magic math skills and giant data sets to the calculation of “It Scores” for the candidates in Indiana.  Sorry to potentially spilling the beans early but hopefully it reduces some tension at the conventions.  Our results…



District 9

Democrat Winner:

Republican Winner:

Based on these It Scores…Yoder will be a force to reckon with come the general election.

District 8


Democrat Winner:
Republican Winner:

Based on these It Scores…it looks like it is going to be a tight race for District 8.

District 7


Democrat Winner:
Republican Winner:

Based on these It Scores…district 7 appears to be currently controlled by the Democrats.

District 6


Republican Winner:

Potential Democrat Winner:
Potential Democrat Winner:

The It Score indicates that this district is a tight race for the Democrat candidates Brad Bookout and Jim Crone.  Bookout has a slightly higher It Score relative to Crone, however, they within the margin of error.  At PoliticIt we only know data…so you might have to go to the political consultants to call this one.

District 5


Republican Winner:

Democrat Winner:

The It Score indicates that it is going to be a close race today between David McIntosh and John McGoff…however…the It Scores show that McIntosh is likely to come out on top.  In either case…Scott Reske has a close enough It Score to be a serious contender when the general election rolls around.  Reske would do well investing in improving his digital influence.

District 4


Republican Winner
Democrat Winner

Current It Score standing show Republicans winning this district in the general election.

District 3


Republican Winner
Democrat Winner

The current data points an easy victory for both Stutzman and Boyd.  Boyd will need to focus on improving his digital influence if he wishes to compete with Stutzman in the upcoming election.


District 2


Republican Winner
Democrat Winner

Both Mullen and Walorski are enjoying significantly higher It Scores relative to their competition.  Mullen will need to exert considerable effort to catch up to Walorski in the digital realm.

District 1


Democrat Winner
Republican Winner

Visclosky maintains the lead in district 1 and faces no internal challengers from inside his party.  Phelps lags Visclosky in his It Score but is not within striking distance.  Both candidates will need to invest in the digital frontier if they want to maintain control.

Senate Race


Republican Winner
Democrat Winner

This is a surprising result for us at PoliticIt considering that the It Score is indicating that an established incumbent is likely to be ousted by a challenger within his own party.  In the recent Utah convention, PoliticIt predicted that an established incumbent Orrin Hatch would go into a primary with Dan Liljenquist.  This is twice that we have seen this happen in the election season so far….assuming that Mourdock does indeed beat Lugar.

These are the It Score predictions.  PoliticIt is the first big data company in election politics.  The It Score is calculated using sophisticated machine learning and giant data sets.  We have been calculating the It Score for over 10 months and our resultsindicate that there is a strong correlation between the It Score and traditional national polls. 


If you’re a politician and you want to improve your score email us.


PoliticIt is a boot-strapped college start-up based in Utah. We are a hip group of economists, math people, and software junkies chasing the American Dream.  We are a jolly non-partisan lot of tribes people interested in everything politics.  We dream of a world consisting of political transparency.  We love democracy.  

Leave us comments below.  We are a humble lot in need of feedback and are always interested in improvement.  Please check out our website too.  We need you’re highly valued opinion.  It’s free too. 


Happy voting,

Josh Light is a Co-Founder and CEO of PoliticIt.com.
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Email: Josh@PoliticIt.com

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