Iowa Election Forecast

There is one question on the minds of every person interested in Iowa politics — who will win in the general election. Below you’ll find the PoliticIt election forecast for Iowa. PoliticIt has calculated the It Score for each candidate.

The It Score measures a politician’s digital influence. PoliticIt has found high correlation between a candidate’s strong digital influence and her success on election day. So far the It Score has correctly predicted election outcomes in more than 300 races with 90 percent accuracy. The candidate with the highest It Score in each race is the one most likely to win according to our data. To learn more about the It Score, click here


First Name Last Name Race It Score
Bruce Braley Congressional district 1 63
Ben Lange Congressional district 1 22
Gregory Hughes Congressional district 1 12
George Krail Congressional district 1 3
David Wayne Loebsack Congressional district 2 42
John Archer Congressional district 2 47
Alan Aversa Congressional district 2 11
Leonard Boswell Congressional district 3 44
Thomas Paul Latham Congressional district 3 38
David Rosenfeld Congressional district 3 9
Scott Batcher Congressional district 3 9
Steven Arnold King Congressional district 4 58
Christie Vilsack Congressional district 4 32
Martin Monroe Congressional district 4 10

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