Maryland Election Forecast

There is one question on the minds of every person interested in Maryland politics — who will win in the general election. Below you’ll find the PoliticIt election forecast for Maryland PoliticIt has calculated the It Score for each candidate.

The It Score measures a politician’s digital influence. PoliticIt has found high correlation between a candidate’s strong digital influence and her success on election day. So far the It Score has correctly predicted election outcomes in more than 300 races with 90 percent accuracy. The candidate with the highest It Score in each race is the one most likely to win according to our data. To learn more about the It Score, click here


First Name Last Name Race It Score
Andrew Harris Congressional district 1 61
Wendy Rosen Congressional district 1 34
Muir Boda Congressional district 1 5
Dutch Ruppersberger Congressional district 2 70
Nancy Jacobs Congressional district 2 16
Leo Dymowski Congressional district 2 5
Leo Dymowski Congressional district 2 5
Ray Bly Congressional district 2 5
John Peter Sarbanes Congressional district 3 71
Eric Knowles Congressional district 3 6
Paul Drgos Congressional district 3 23
Donna Edwards Congressional district 4 69
Faith Loudon Congressional district 4 14
Scott Soffen Congressional district 4 17
Steny Hoyer Congressional district 5 51
Tony O’Donnell Congressional district 5 13
Bob Auerbach Congressional district 5 4
Arvin Vohra Congressional district 5 32
Roscoe Bartlett Congressional district 6 42
John Delaney Congressional district 6 54
Nick Mueller Congressional district 6 5
Elijah Cummings Congressional district 7 58
Frank Jr. Mirabile Congressional district 7 29
Ron Owens-Bey Congressional district 7 4
Ty Busch Congressional district 7 4
Charles Smith Congressional district 7 4
Christopher Jr Van Hollen Congressional district 8 60
Kenneth Timmerman Congressional district 8 16
George Gluck Congressional district 8 13
Mark Grannis Congressional district 8 11
Daniel Bongino U.S. Senate 16
Rob Sobhani U.S. Senate 26
Brandy Baker U.S. Senate 14
Dean Ahmad U.S. Senate 4
Ed Tinus U.S. Senate 10
Lih Young U.S. Senate 8
Ben Cardin U.S. Senate 22

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