Massachusetts Election Forecast

There is one question on the minds of every person interested in Massachusetts politics — who will win in the general election. Below you’ll find the PoliticIt election forecast for Massachusetts. PoliticIt has calculated the It Score for each candidate.

The It Score measures a politician’s digital influence. PoliticIt has found high correlation between a candidate’s strong digital influence and her success on election day. So far the It Score has correctly predicted election outcomes in more than 300 races with 90 percent accuracy. The candidate with the highest It Score in each race is the one most likely to win according to our data. To learn more about the It Score, click here


First Name Last Name Race It Score
Richard Neal Congressional district 1 100
Jim McGovern Congressional district 2 100
Niki Tsongas Congressional district 3 62
Jon Golnik Congressional district 3 38
Joe Kennedy Congressional district 4 62
Sean Bielat Congressional district 4 38
Ed Markey Congressional district 5 82
Tom Tierney Congressional district 5 18
John Tierney Congressional district 6 39
Richard Tisei Congressional district 6 53
Daniel Fishman Congressional district 6 7
Mike Capuano Congressional district 7 85
Karla Romero Congressional district 7 15
Stephen Lynch Congressional district 8 60
Joe Selvaggi Congressional district 8 40
Bill Keating Congressional district 9 67
Christopher Sheldon Congressional district 9 22
Daniel Botelho Congressional district 9 11
Scott Brown U.S. Senate 41
Elizabeth Warren U.S. Senate 39
Bill Cimbrelo U.S. Senate 16
Laura Garza U.S. Senate 5

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