Michigan Election Forecast

There is one question on the minds of every person interested in Michigan politics — who will win in the general election. Below you’ll find the PoliticIt election forecast for Michigan  PoliticIt has calculated the It Score for each candidate.

The It Score measures a politician’s digital influence. PoliticIt has found high correlation between a candidate’s strong digital influence and her success on election day. So far the It Score has correctly predicted election outcomes in more than 300 races with 90 percent accuracy. The candidate with the highest It Score in each race is the one most likely to win according to our data. To learn more about the It Score, click here


First Name Last Name Race It Score
Dan Benishek Congressional district 1 48
Gary McDowell Congressional district 1 33
Ellis Boal Congressional district 1 10
Emily Salvette Congressional district 1 9
Bill Huizenga Congressional district 2 64
Willie German Congressional district 2 11
William Opalicky Congressional district 2 9
Mary Buzuma Congressional district 2 12
Ron Graser Congressional district 2 4
Justin Amash Congressional district 3 56
Steve Pestka Congressional district 3 33
Bill Gelineau Congressional district 3 11
Dave Camp Congressional district 4 64
Debra Wirth Congressional district 4 15
Pat Timmons Congressional district 4 11
John Gelineau Congressional district 4 11
Dan Kildee Congressional district 5 55
Jim Slezak Congressional district 5 29
Greg Creswell Congressional district 5 4
David Davenport Congressional district 5 11
Fred Upton Congressional district 6 84
Mike O’Brien Congressional district 6 16
Tim Walberg Congressional district 7 75
Kurt Haskell Congressional district 7 15
Richard Wunsch Congressional district 7 5
Ken Proctor Congressional district 7 5
Mike Rogers Congressional district 8 71
Lance Enderle Congressional district 8 11
Dan Goebel Congressional district 8 5
Preston Brooks Congressional district 8 13
Sander Levin Congressional district 9 72
Julia Williams Congressional district 9 3
Jim Fulner Congressional district 9 4
Don Volaric Congressional district 9 16
Les Townsend Congressional district 9 5
Candice Miller Congressional district 10 78
Chuck Stadler Congressional district 10 17
Bhagwan Dashairya Congressional district 10 5
Kerry Bentivolio Congressional district 11 40
Syed Taj Congressional district 11 36
Steven Duke Congressional district 11 8
John Tatar Congressional district 11 8
Daniel Johnson Congressional district 11 8
John Dingell Congressional district 12 77
Cynthia Kallgren Congressional district 12 18
Rick Secula Congressional district 12 5
John Conyers Congressional district 13 72
Harry Sawicki Congressional district 13 19
Chris Sharer Congressional district 13 5
Martin Gray Congressional district 13 5
Gary Peters Congressional district 14 76
John Hauler Congressional district 14 14
Doug Campbell Congressional district 14 5
Leonard Schwartz Congressional district 14 5
Debbie Stabenow U.S. Senate 49
Scott Boman U.S. Senate 4
Pete Hoekstra U.S. Senate 17
Harley Mikkelson U.S. Senate 10
John Litle U.S. Senate 9
Richard Matkin U.S. Senate 10

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