Minnesota Election Forecast

There is one question on the minds of every person interested in Minnesota politics — who will win in the general election. Below you’ll find the PoliticIt election forecast for Minnesota  PoliticIt has calculated the It Score for each candidate.

The It Score measures a politician’s digital influence. PoliticIt has found high correlation between a candidate’s strong digital influence and her success on election day. So far the It Score has correctly predicted election outcomes in more than 300 races with 90 percent accuracy. The candidate with the highest It Score in each race is the one most likely to win according to our data. To learn more about the It Score, click here


First Name Last Name Race It Score
Tim Walz Congressional district 1 75
Allen Quist Congressional district 1 25
John Kline Congressional district 2 70
Mike Obermueller Congressional district 2 25
Josh Ondich Congressional district 2 5
Erik Paulsen Congressional district 3 82
Brian Barnes Congressional district 3 18
Betty McCollum Congressional district 4 82
Steve Carlson Congressional district 4 18
Keith Ellison Congressional district 5 80
Chris   Fields Congressional district 5 14
Tony Lane Congressional district 5 6
Michele Bachmann Congressional district 6 76
Jim Graves Congressional district 6 24
Collin Peterson Congressional district 7 41
Lee Byberg Congressional district 7 38
Adam Steele Congressional district 7 20
Chip Cravaack Congressional district 8 56
Rick Nolan Congressional district 8 44
Amy Klobuchar U.S. Senate 65
Kurt Bills U.S. Senate 10
Tim Davis U.S. Senate 5
Stephen Williams U.S. Senate 10
Michael Cavlan U.S. Senate 5
Frank Forrestal U.S. Senate 5

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