Missouri Election Forecast

There is one question on the minds of every person interested in Missouri politics — who will win in the general election. Below you’ll find the PoliticIt election forecast for Missouri  PoliticIt has calculated the It Score for each candidate.

The It Score measures a politician’s digital influence. PoliticIt has found high correlation between a candidate’s strong digital influence and her success on election day. So far the It Score has correctly predicted election outcomes in more than 300 races with 90 percent accuracy. The candidate with the highest It Score in each race is the one most likely to win according to our data. To learn more about the It Score, click here


First Name Last Name Race It Score
Lacy Clay Congressional district 1 63
Robyn Hamlin Congressional district 1 34
Robb Cunningham Congressional district 1 2
Ann Wagner Congressional district 2 63
Glenn Koenen Congressional district 2 8
Anatol Zorikova Congressional district 2 11
Bill Slantz Congressional district 2 18
Blaine Luetkemeyer Congressional district 3 49
Eric Mayer Congressional district 3 34
Steven Wilson Congressional district 3 18
Vicky Hartzler Congressional district 4 55
Teresa Hensley Congressional district 4 21
Greg Cowan Congressional district 4 9
Thomas Holbrook Congressional district 4 15
Emanuel Cleaver Congressional district 5 67
Jacob Turk Congressional district 5 23
Randy Langkraehr Congressional district 5 10
Sam Graves Congressional district 6 84
Kyle Yarber Congressional district 6 11
Russ Lee Monchil Congressional district 6 6
Billy Long Congressional district 7 61
Jim Evans Congressional district 7 34
Kevin Craig Congressional district 7 5
Jo Ann Emerson Congressional district 8 70
Jack Rushin Congressional district 8 18
Rick Vandeven Congressional district 8 12
Jay Nixon Governor 41
Dave Spence Governor 49
Jim Higgins Governor 10
Claire McCaskill U.S. Senate 35
Todd Akin U.S. Senate 46
Jonathan Dine U.S. Senate 19

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