Mitt Romney CBS Debate Performance

Debate Analysis

What if there was a way to measure a debate’s success based upon data collected from social networks and the internet instead of relying upon the opinion of political commentators or journalists…well now there is.

The PoliticIt team diligently spent the evening collecting data regarding each candidate in an attempt to find out who the internet voted to be the winner of last night’s debate.  This blog is focused completely on Mitt Romney.  If you want to see a who won click here.  If you want to see another candidate just click on their name: Michele Bachmann, Herman Cain, Newt Gingrich, JonHuntsman, Ron Paul, Rick Perry, Rick Santorum.

The PoliticIt team focused on two areas of measurement: Twitter, and Intrade.


The following graphs show whether Twitter activity about Mitt Romney during the debate was positive or negative for the following Hashtags and @tags: #Romney, #MittRomney, and @MittRomney.

Notice how all of his tags were positive.  This means that the majority of people on Twitter were saying good things about Romney.  If we average out the values then Mitt Romney receives a Twitter score of 4.3.  This puts Romney 6th place with his Twitter Score.


Intrade is a place where people can buy shares in the probability of a candidate winning an election.  If the price of a share goes up then the candidate is doing good, whereas, if the price of a share plummets then a candidate is doing bad.

This is Romney’s Intrade data during the debate:

At the beginning of the debate Mitt Romney was trading at 70.5 dollars per share.  At the end of the debate he was trading at 71 dollars per share.  Overall the debate increased his price by 50 cents or a .71% price increase.  Romney’s price increase did not occur until right after the debate ended.  There were also very few trades of Romney’s shares during the debate which likely means that he didn’t say anything too dramatic.  Overall traders on Intrade believe that the debate helped the probability of Mitt Romney winning the GOP nomination. 

Extra Twitter Stats (approximate):

Top Positive Tweeters Top Retweeters
TampaGurlFL 8 UdayanMallik 28
kensonhiatt 4 Norsu2 20
RomneyTruth 4 cutiepi2u 18
DailyNational 4 StknConservativ 18
nyformitt 4 TampaGurlFL 17

To see how Mitt Romney did compared to other CBS Debate presidential candidates click here PoliticIt.

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