New Jersey Election Forecast

There is one question on the minds of every person interested in New Jersey politics — who will win in the general election. Below you’ll find the PoliticIt election forecast for New Jersey. PoliticIt has calculated the It Score for each candidate.

The It Score measures a politician’s digital influence. PoliticIt has found high correlation between a candidate’s strong digital influence and her success on election day. So far the It Score has correctly predicted election outcomes in more than 300 races with 90 percent accuracy. The candidate with the highest It Score in each race is the one most likely to win according to our data. To learn more about the It Score, click here


First Name Last Name Race It Score
Rob Andrews Congressional district 1 49
Greg Horton Congressional district 1 34
Margaret Chapman Congressional district 1 12
John Reitter Congressional district 1 4
Frank LoBiondo Congressional district 2 51
Cassandra Shober Congressional district 2 7
John Ordille Congressional district 2 7
David Bowen Congressional district 2 13
Frank Faralli Congressional district 2 10
Charles Lukens Congressional district 2 10
Jon Runyan Congressional district 3 46
Shelley Adler Congressional district 3 31
Rob Witterschein Congressional district 3 2
Ed Forchion Congressional district 3 5
Christopher Dennick Congressional district 3 4
Frederick LaVergne Congressional district 3 2
Robert Shapiro Congressional district 3 10
Chris Smith Congressional district 4 43
Brian Froelich Congressional district 4 36
Leonard Marshall Congressional district 4 21
Scott Garrett Congressional district 5 66
Adam Gussen Congressional district 5 30
Patricia Alessandrini Congressional district 5 5
Anna Little Congressional district 6 26
Frank Pallone Congressional district 6 56
Len Flynn Congressional district 6 5
Herb Tarbous Congressional district 6 5
Mac Lyden Congressional district 6 5
Karen Zaletel Congressional district 6 5
Leonard Lance Congressional district 7 46
Upendra Chivukula Congressional district 7 19
Patrick McKnight Congressional district 7 14
Upendra Chivukula Congressional district 7 8
Dennis Breen Congressional district 7 13
Albio Sires Congressional district 8 57
Stephen DeLuca Congressional district 8 14
Pablo Olivera Congressional district 8 14
Herbert Shaw Congressional district 8 14
Bill Pascrell Congressional district 9 56
Shmuley Boteach Congressional district 9 23
E. David Smith Congressional district 9 18
Jeanette Woolsey Congressional district 9 4
Donald Payne Congressional district 10 71
Brian Kelemen Congressional district 10 5
Mike Erickson Congressional district 10 5
Joanne Miller Congressional district 10 19
Rodney Frelinghuysen Congressional district 11 35
John Arvanites Congressional district 11 52
Barry Berlin Congressional district 11 14
Rush Holt Congressional district 12 74
Eric Beck Congressional district 12 10
Ken Cody Congressional district 12 3
Jack Freudenheim Congressional district 12 13
Robert Menendez U.S. Senate 40
David Douglas Brown U.S. Senate 3
Joseph Kyrillos U.S. Senate 4
Ken Wolski U.S. Senate 6
Gregory Pason U.S. Senate 8
Jeff Boss U.S. Senate 6
Inder Soni U.S. Senate 7
Ken Kaplan U.S. Senate 3
Daryl Brooks U.S. Senate 3
Gwen Diakos U.S. Senate 6
David Dranikoff U.S. Senate 7
Eugene LaVergne U.S. Senate 3
Robert Turkavage U.S. Senate 2

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