New York Election Forecast

There is one question on the minds of every person interested in New York politics — who will win in the general election. Below you’ll find the PoliticIt election forecast for New York. PoliticIt has calculated the It Score for each candidate.

The It Score measures a politician’s digital influence. PoliticIt has found high correlation between a candidate’s strong digital influence and her success on election day. So far the It Score has correctly predicted election outcomes in more than 300 races with 90 percent accuracy. The candidate with the highest It Score in each race is the one most likely to win according to our data. To learn more about the It Score, click here


First Name Last Name Race It Score
Randy Altschuler Congressional district 1 60
Timothy Bishop Congressional district 1 34
Rick Witt Congressional district 1 5
Vivianne Falcone Congressional district 2 4
Peter King Congressional district 2 91
Dan Riina Congressional district 2 5
Steve Israel Congressional district 3 48
Steve Labate Congressional district 3 39
Mike McDermott Congressional district 3 12
Carolyn McCarthy Congressional district 4 96
Fran Becker Congressional district 4 4
Gregory Meeks Congressional district 5 91
Allan Jennings Congressional district 5 3
Catherine Walk Congressional district 5 6
Evergreen Chou Congressional district 6 5
Rory Lancman Congressional district 6 25
Grace Meng Congressional district 6 45
Dan Halloran Congressional district 6 24
Nydia Velazquez Congressional district 7 79
James Murray Congressional district 7 21
Colin Beavan Congressional district 8 31
Alan Bellone Congressional district 8 17
Hakeem Jeffries Congressional district 8 52
Vivia Morgan Congressional district 9 16
Daniel Cavanagh Congressional district 9 16
Yvette Diane Clarke Congressional district 9 67
Michael Chan Congressional district 10 6
Jerrold Lewis Nadler Congressional district 10 94
Hank Bardel Congressional district 11 5
Michael Grimm Congressional district 11 71
Mark Murphy Congressional district 11 24
Carolyn Maloney Congressional district 12 73
Christopher Wight Congressional district 12 27
Charles Rangel Congressional district 13 100
Joe   Crowley Congressional district 14 67
Tony Gronowicz Congressional district 14 16
William Gibbons Congressional district 14 16
José Enrique Serrano Congressional district 15 94
Frank Della Valle Congressional district 15 6
Eliot Engel Congressional district 16 67
Joseph Diaferia Congressional district 16 16
Joseph McLaughlin Congressional district 16 17
Nita Lowey Congressional district 17 77
Joe Carvin Congressional district 17 23
Nan Hayworth Congressional district 18 54
Sean Patrick Maloney Congressional district 18 37
Larry Weissmann Congressional district 18 10
Christopher Gibson Congressional district 19 56
Julian Schriebman Congressional district 19 44
Paul David Tonko Congressional district 20 83
Bob Dieterich Congressional district 20 17
Donald Hassig Congressional district 21 15
William Lewis Owens Congressional district 21 46
Matt Doheny Congressional district 21 39
Richard Hanna Congressional district 22 76
Dan Lamb Congressional district 22 24
Thomas Reed Congressional district 23 45
Nate Shinagawa Congressional district 23 55
Ursula Rozum Congressional district 24 11
Ann Marie Buerkle Congressional district 24 50
Daniel Benjamin Maffei Congressional district 24 39
Louise Slaughter Congressional district 25 59
Maggie Brooks Congressional district 25 41
Brian Higgins Congressional district 26 81
Mike Madigan Congressional district 26 19
Kathleen Courtney Hochul Congressional district 27 45
Chris Collins Congressional district 27 51
Megan Lavin Congressional district 27 5
Colia Clark U.S. Senate 12
Michael Craft U.S. Senate 4
Scott Noren U.S. Senate 9
Kirsten Gillibrand U.S. Senate 49
Wendy Long U.S. Senate 2
Chris Edes U.S. Senate 8
Dan Fein U.S. Senate 4
John Mangelli U.S. Senate 7
Tim Sweet U.S. Senate 6

Share this article