North Carolina Election Forecast

There is one question on the minds of every person interested in North Carolina politics — who will win in the general election. Below you’ll find the PoliticIt election forecast for North Carolina PoliticIt has calculated the It Score for each candidate.

The It Score measures a politician’s digital influence. PoliticIt has found high correlation between a candidate’s strong digital influence and her success on election day. So far the It Score has correctly predicted election outcomes in more than 300 races with 90 percent accuracy. The candidate with the highest It Score in each race is the one most likely to win according to our data. To learn more about the It Score, click here


First Name Last Name Race It Score
George Butterfield Congressional district 1 64
Pete DiLauro Congressional district 1 18
Darryl Holloman Congressional district 1 18
Renee Ellmers Congressional district 2 68
Steve Wilkins Congressional district 2 17
Brian Irving Congressional district 2 15
Walter Jr. Jones Congressional district 3 72
Erik Anderson Congressional district 3 28
David Price Congressional district 4 70
Tim D’Annunzio Congressional district 4 30
Virginia Foxx Congressional district 5 80
Elizabeth Motsinger Congressional district 5 20
Howard Coble Congressional district 6 82
Anthony Foriest Congressional district 6 18
Mike McIntyre Congressional district 7 58
David Rouzer Congressional district 7 42
Larry Kissell Congressional district 8 48
Richard Hudson Congressional district 8 48
Todd Foreman Congressional district 8 5
Robert Pittenger Congressional district 9 56
Jennifer Roberts Congressional district 9 32
Curtis Campbell Congressional district 9 12
Patrick McHenry Congressional district 10 72
Patsy Keever Congressional district 10 28
Hayden Rogers Congressional district 11 37
Mark Meadows Congressional district 11 63
Mel Watt Congressional district 12 79
Jack Brosch Congressional district 12 21
George Holding Congressional district 13 75
Charles Malone Congressional district 13 25
Walter Dalton Governor 33
Pat McCrory Governor 58
Barbara Howe Governor 9

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