Ohio Election Forecast

There is one question on the minds of every person interested in Ohio politics — who will win in the general election. Below you’ll find the PoliticIt election forecast for Ohio. PoliticIt has calculated the It Score for each candidate.

The It Score measures a politician’s digital influence. PoliticIt has found high correlation between a candidate’s strong digital influence and her success on election day. So far the It Score has correctly predicted election outcomes in more than 300 races with 90 percent accuracy. The candidate with the highest It Score in each race is the one most likely to win according to our data. To learn more about the It Score, click here


First Name Last Name Race It Score
Steve Chabot Congressional district 1 58
Jeff Sinnard Congressional district 1 14
Rich Stevenson Congressional district 1 18
Jim Berns Congressional district 1 10
Brad Wenstrup Congressional district 2 79
William Smith Congressional district 2 21
Joyce Beatty Congressional district 3 50
Chris Long Congressional district 3 12
Bob Fitrakis Congressional district 3 24
Richard III Ehrbar Congressional district 3 15
Jim Jordan Congressional district 4 70
Jim Slone Congressional district 4 15
Chris Kalla Congressional district 4 15
Bob Latta Congressional district 5 70
Angela Zimmann Congressional district 5 22
Eric Eberly Congressional district 5 8
Bill Johnson Congressional district 6 62
Charlie Jr. Wilson Congressional district 6 38
Bob Gibbs Congressional district 7 54
Joyce Abrams Congressional district 7 41
Dawn Howard Congressional district 7 4
John Andrew Boehner Congressional district 8 100
Marcia Carolyn Kaptur Congressional district 9 24
Samuel Joseph Wurzelbacher Congressional district 9 59
Sean Stipe Congressional district 9 17
Mike Turner Congressional district 10 76
Sharen Neuhardt Congressional district 10 18
David Harlow Congressional district 10 6
Marcia Fudge Congressional district 11 100
Pat Tiberi Congressional district 12 88
Jim Reese Congressional district 12 12
Tim Ryan Congressional district 13 79
Marisha Agana Congressional district 13 21
Dale Blanchard Congressional district 14 -6
Elaine Mastromatteo Congressional district 14 39
David Macko Congressional district 14 49
Erick Donald Robinson Congressional district 14 -3
David Joyce Congressional district 14 21
Steve Stivers Congressional district 15 83
Pat Lang Congressional district 15 17
Jim Renacci Congressional district 16 53
Betty Sutton Congressional district 16 42
Jeff Blevins Congressional district 16 5
Sherrod Brown U.S. Senate 50
Josh Mandel U.S. Senate 34
Scott Rupert U.S. Senate 16

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