Pennsylvania Election Forecast

There is one question on the minds of every person interested in Pennsylvania politics — who will win in the general election. Below you’ll find the PoliticIt election forecast for Pennsylvania. PoliticIt has calculated the It Score for each candidate.

The It Score measures a politician’s digital influence. PoliticIt has found high correlation between a candidate’s strong digital influence and her success on election day. So far the It Score has correctly predicted election outcomes in more than 300 races with 90 percent accuracy. The candidate with the highest It Score in each race is the one most likely to win according to our data. To learn more about the It Score, click here


First Name Last Name Race It Score
Robert Brady Congressional district 1 74
John Featherman Congressional district 1 21
Chris Hoeppner Congressional district 1 5
Chaka Fattah Congressional district 2 74
Robert Mansfield Congressional district 2 16
Jim Foster Congressional district 2 5
Robert Ogborn Congressional district 2 5
George Joseph Jr. Kelly Congressional district 3 54
Missa Eaton Congressional district 3 29
Steve Porter Congressional district 3 17
Scott Perry Congressional district 4 74
Harry Perkinson Congressional district 4 13
Mike Koffenberger Congressional district 4 6
Wayne Wolf Congressional district 4 6
Glenn Thompson Congressional district 5 84
Charles Dumas Congressional district 5 16
James Gerlach Congressional district 6 64
Manan Trivedi Congressional district 6 36
Patrick Meehan Congressional district 7 69
George Badey Congressional district 7 31
Michael Fitzpatrick Congressional district 8 61
Kathy Boockvar Congressional district 8 39
William Shuster Congressional district 9 73
Karen Ramsburg Congressional district 9 27
Thomas Anthony Marino Congressional district 10 78
Phil Scollo Congressional district 10 22
Louis Barletta Congressional district 11 56
Gene Stilp Congressional district 11 44
Mark Critz Congressional district 12 62
Keith Rothfus Congressional district 12 38
Allyson Schwartz Congressional district 13 65
Joe Rooney Congressional district 13 35
Michael Doyle Congressional district 14 78
Hans Lessmann Congressional district 14 22
Charlie Dent Congressional district 15 89
Rick Daugherty Congressional district 15 11
Joseph Pitts Congressional district 16 60
Aryanna Strader Congressional district 16 12
John Murphy Congressional district 16 17
Jim Bednarski Congressional district 16 11
Matt Cartwright Congressional district 17 73
Laureen Cummings Congressional district 17 27
Timothy Murphy Congressional district 18 63
Larry Maggi Congressional district 18 37
Robert Patrick Jr. Casey U.S. Senate 22
Tom Smith U.S. Senate 63
Rayburn Smith U.S. Senate 10
Osborne Hart U.S. Senate 5


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