Rick Perry CBS Debate Performance

Debate Analysis

What if there was a way to measure a debate’s success based upon data collected from social networks and the internet instead of relying upon the opinion of political commentators or journalists…well now there is.

The PoliticIt team diligently spent the evening collecting data regarding each candidate in an attempt to find out who the internet voted to be the winner of last night’s debate.  This blog is focused completely on Rick Perry.  If you want to see who won the debate please click on this link PoliticIt.  If you want to see another candidate just click on their name: Mitt Romney, Michele Bachmann, Herman Cain, Newt Gingrich, JonHuntsman, Ron Paul,Rick Santorum.

The PoliticIt team focused on two areas of measurement: Twitter, and Intrade.


The following graphs show whether Twitter activity about Rick Perry during the debate was positive or negative for the following Hashtags and @tags: #Perry, #RickPerry, @Perry, and @RickPerry.

Notice how all of his tags were positive.  This means that the majority of people on Twitter were saying good things about Perry.  If we average out the values then Rick Perry receives a Twitter score of 4.6.  This puts Perry in 1st place with his Twitter Score.


Intrade is a place where people can buy shares in the probability of a candidate winning an election.  If the price of a share goes up then the candidate is doing good, whereas, if the price of a share plummets then a candidate is doing bad.

This is Perry’s Intrade data during the debate:

At the beginning of the debate Rick Perry was trading at 3.5 dollars per share.  At the end of the debate he was trading at 3.7 dollars per share. Overall the debate increased his price by 20 cents or a 5.7% price increase.  This indicates that traders on Intrade believe that the debate helped the probability of Rick Perry winning the GOP nomination. 

Extra Twitter Stats (approximate):

Top Positive Tweeters
impoTex 35
rln22 14
poorconservativ 14
Boazziz 8
Top Retweeters
PoppinsOTR 47
KevinNLaura2010 40
impoTex 34
TxLibertyCaucus 30
corrcomm 29

To see how Rick Perry did compared to other CNBC Michigan Republican Party Debate presidential candidates click here PoliticIt.

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