Rick Perry Debate Performance
At PoliticIt we are sick of media bias. We are tired of media elitist telling us who to vote for or who won the debate. So we decided to fight back. Instead of basing debate performance on the opinion of a political commentator with an Ivy school education we let you determine who won the debate based upon what you say in Twitter and how people trade on Intrade. We feel that this is a better representation of debate performance because it is based upon the opinions of millions of people instead of the opinion of one person. If you value political transparency and dream of a better democratic process then you should share this article.
The PoliticIt team diligently spent the evening collecting data regarding each candidate in an attempt to find out who the internet voted to be the winner of last night’s debate. This blog is focused completely on Rick Perry. If you want to see who won the debate please click on this link PoliticIt. Overall Rick Perry took 4th in this debate. If you want to see another candidate just click on their name: Michele Bachmann, Herman Cain, Newt Gingrich, Ron Paul, Rick Santorum.
The following graphs show whether Twitter
activity about Rick Perry during the debate was
positive or negative for the following Hashtags
and @tags: #Perry, #RickPerry, @GovernorPerry,
As you can see in the above graph people said the
most positive things about Rick Perry when using
the @tag of @GovernorPerry. Because all of the
bars have positive values the majority of Twitter
users only had good things to say about Perry. On Twitter Perry came out in 3rd place. Good job
Intrade is a place where people can buy shares in
the probability of a candidate winning an election.
If the price of a share goes up then the candidate
is doing good, whereas, if the price of a share
plummets then a candidate is doing bad.
this is a good place to measure debate
performance because people are betting real
money on the probability of a candidate winning
the GOP nomination. These people are putting
their money where their mouth is.
This is Perry’s Intrade data during the debate:
Notice Rick Perry’s beginning price of $3.30. This price indicates that Intrade traders believed Rick Perry to have a 3.3% chance of winning the GOP nomination prior to the debate. Notice Rick Perry’s end price of $3.00. Rick Perry suffered a 10% price decline during the debate which indicates that Intrade traders felt that the probability of Perry winning the nomination decreased during the debate. Rick was the only candidate to suffer an overall decrease in his Intrade price during the debate which means Intrade ranked him last place in the debate. Sorry Rick.
Rick Perry’s biggest debate Twitter Fans. If you like Rick Perry then you should probably follow these guys: