Ron Paul CBS Debate Performance

CBS News The National Journal and the South Carolina Republican Party
Debate Results

What if there was a way to measure a debate’s success based upon data collected from social networks and the internet instead of relying upon the opinion of political commentators or journalists…well now there is.

The PoliticIt team diligently spent the evening collecting data regarding each candidate in an attempt to find out who the internet voted to be the winner of last night’s debate.  This blog is focused completely on Ron Paul.  If you want to see who won the debate please click on this link.  If you want to see another candidate just click on their name:Mitt Romney, Michele BachmannHerman CainNewt Gingrich, JonHuntsmanRick PerryRick Santorum.

The PoliticIt team focused on two areas of measurement: Twitter, and Intrade.


The following graphs show whether Twitter activity about Ron Paul during the debate was positive or negative for the following Hashtags and @tags: #RonPaul, @Paul, #Paul, and @RonPaul.

Notice how all of his tags were positive.  This means that the majority of people on Twitter were saying good things about Paul.  If we average out the values then Ron Paul receives a Twitter score of 3.7.  This puts Paul in 7th place with his Twitter Score.


Intrade is a place where people can buy shares in the probability of a candidate winning an election.  If the price of a share goes up then the candidate is doing good, whereas, if the price of a share plummets then a candidate is doing bad.

This is Paul’s Intrade data during the debate:

At the beginning of the debate Ron Paul was trading at 3.9 dollars per share.  At the end of the debate he was trading at 3.8 dollars per share.  Overall the debate decreased his price by 10 cents or a 2.6% price decrease.  This indicates that traders on Intrade believe that the debate hurt the probability of Ron Paul winning the GOP nomination. 

Extra Twitter Stats (approximate):


Top Positive Tweeters Top Retweeters
Xfilespoker 50 skeeteronmy 125
RonPaulsVoice 35 PoppinsOTR 76
freedomforthwin 14 TxLibertyCaucus 65
Foehammer 10 dmmckinney 58
PaulSwashbuckl 9 cyndeZu 55

To see how Ron Paul did compared to other CNBC Michigan Republican Party Debate presidential candidates click here PoliticIt.

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