Tennessee Election Forecast

There is one question on the minds of every person interested in Tennessee politics — who will win in the general election. Below you’ll find the PoliticIt election forecast for Tennessee. PoliticIt has calculated the It Score for each candidate.

The It Score measures a politician’s digital influence. PoliticIt has found high correlation between a candidate’s strong digital influence and her success on election day. So far the It Score has correctly predicted election outcomes in more than 300 races with 90 percent accuracy. The candidate with the highest It Score in each race is the one most likely to win according to our data. To learn more about the It Score, click here


First Name Last Name Race It Score
David Roe Congressional district 1 64
Alan Woodruff Congressional district 1 23
Karen Brackett Congressional district 1 4
Michael Salyer Congressional district 1 4
Bob Smith Congressional district 1 4
John James Jr. Duncan Congressional district 2 50
Troy Goodale Congressional district 2 17
Greg Samples Congressional district 2 4
Brandon Stewart Congressional district 2 25
Norris Dryer Congressional district 2 4
Charles Joseph Fleischmann Congressional district 3 68
Mary Headrick Congressional district 3 27
Matthew Deniston Congressional district 3 5
Scott DesJarlais Congressional district 4 62
Eric Stewart Congressional district 4 38
James Cooper Congressional district 5 62
Brad Staats Congressional district 5 24
John Miglietta Congressional district 5 15
Diane Black Congressional district 6 83
Robert Beasley Congressional district 6 4
Pat Riley Congressional district 6 13
Marsha Blackburn Congressional district 7 30
Credo Amouzouvik Congressional district 7 3
William Akin Congressional district 7 3
Jack Arnold Congressional district 7 4
Lenny Ladner Congressional district 7 1
Howard Switzer Congressional district 7 3
Stephen Fincher Congressional district 8 68
Timothy Dixon Congressional district 8 19
James Hart Congressional district 8 10
Mark Rawles Congressional district 8 3
Stephen Cohen Congressional district 9 50
George Flinn Congressional district 9 41
Gregory Joiner Congressional district 9 4
Brian Saulsberry Congressional district 9 4
Robert Phillips Jr. Corker U.S. Senate 50
Mark Clayton U.S. Senate 21
Shaun Crowell U.S. Senate 9
David Gatchell U.S. Senate 4
James Higdon U.S. Senate 4
Michel Long U.S. Senate 4
Troy Scoggin U.S. Senate 4
Kermit Steck U.S. Senate 3
Martin Pleasant U.S. Senate 2

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