Washington State Election Forecast

There is one question on the minds of every person interested in Washington politics — who will win in the general election. Below you’ll find the PoliticIt election forecast for Washington. PoliticIt has calculated the It Score for each candidate.

The It Score measures a politician’s digital influence. PoliticIt has found high correlation between a candidate’s strong digital influence and her success on election day. So far the It Score has correctly predicted election outcomes in more than 300 races with 90 percent accuracy. The candidate with the highest It Score in each race is the one most likely to win according to our data. To learn more about the It Score, click here


First Name Last Name Race It Score
Suzan DelBene Congressional district 1 63
John Koster Congressional district 1 37
Rick Larsen Congressional district 2 63
Dan Matthews Congressional district 2 37
Jaime Beutler Congressional district 3 75
Jon Haugen Congressional district 3 25
Doc Hastings Congressional district 4 91
Mary Baechler Congressional district 4 9
Cathy Rodgers Congressional district 5 66
Rich Cowan Congressional district 5 34
Derek Kilmer Congressional district 6 70
Bill Driscoll Congressional district 6 30
Jim McDermott Congressional district 7 80
Ron Bemis Congressional district 7 20
Dave Reichert Congressional district 8 88
Karen Porterfield Congressional district 8 12
David Smith Congressional district 9 69
Jim Postma Congressional district 9 31
Denny Heck Congressional district 10 67
Dick Muri Congressional district 10 33
Jay Inslee Governor 45
Rob McKenna Governor 55
Maria Cantwell U.S. Senate 72
Michael Baumgartner U.S. Senate 28

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