Who Won the Huckabee GOP Presidential Forum?
|Beg Price||End Price||Total Change||Percent Change||Total Volume|
|Rick Santorum||Michele Bachmann|
|Ron Paul||Newt Gingrich|
|Newt Gingrich||Rick Perry|
Debate winners are selected by combining the Twitter and Intrade Score. 1st place receives 6 points, 2nd place receives 5 points, 3rd place receives 4 points, 4th place receives 3 points, 5th place receives 2 points, and 6th place receives 1 point.
Below is a breakdown of the points.
The Twitter Score is calculated by subtracting the number of negative tweets from the number of positive tweets about a politician. This determines if the overall chatter on Twitter was negative or positive. Some candidates have more hashtags or @tags relative to others due to volume issues. For instance, if there is isn’t enough people using a hashtag our software will not be able to produce data regarding it.
Intrade is a website where people can bet real money towards the probability of a politician achieving some event. The event that we tracked was the probability of an individual GOP candidate winning the GOP nomination. If a representative’s price declines during the debate then that means individuals who are betting on Intrade believe that the politician is less likely to win the GOP nomination.